Just a few months ago, Ebrahim Raisi became the new president of Iran. At the time, we, along with many others, wrote about how the Iranian establishment (let’s not talk about the people — they don’t decide anything there) was betting on war (https://golosislama.com/news.php?id=39887).
Well, war is war — Khomeinist Iran has to fight it in a cold form that could escalate into a hot one. However, this has not been very successful, as the forces of the Khomeinist Shiite axis are currently in a kind of siege, trying to fight their way out. Let’s consider three directions of this confrontation.
1. The Caucasus — closest to our readers
When Raisi and Nikol Pashinyan won their respective elections in Iran and Armenia almost simultaneously, we wrote in the above-mentioned article: «…it would be more convenient for the Iranian war party to have a leader in Armenia who also prefers war preparations to economic development and attracting investments. And given the strong anti-Turkish and anti-Azerbaijani sentiments in Armenian society, we can assume that the Iranian war party, like the Russian war party consisting of aggressive Khomeinists and crusaders, will not leave the new Armenian government alone and will continue to use this country as a tool to contain Turkey.» As we can see, this is exactly what is happening now.
It is worth remembering that not long ago, against the background of military exercises, Iran and Azerbaijan were on the verge of a possible military conflict, as we wrote (https://golosislama.com/news.php?id=40157). This week, after the meeting of the foreign ministers of both countries, there seems to have been some de-escalation. And what are we seeing? Yesterday, a 19-year-old Azerbaijani soldier, a conscript and the only son of his parents, was killed by an Armenian sniper under the cover of the Russian «peacekeeping» contingent.
This treacherous murder led to a temporary resumption of hostilities, as the Azerbaijani armed forces could not leave it unanswered. More importantly, although these hostilities have ceased for the time being, they have intensified the sentiment of the Azerbaijani army and society to take revenge for such a treacherous act. Considering this situation, it is difficult to believe that Pashinyan gave the order to kill the Azerbaijani soldier. On the contrary, he sends signals of readiness for cooperation to Erdogan, meets with the Prime Minister of Georgia for the same purpose, visits Putin, Europe, etc. Obviously, Pashinyan does not need a new war at the moment — this is not the program with which he came to power, and this is what his Armenian opponents accused and continue to accuse him of, that he wants to compromise with the «Turks». But if Pashinyan wants it, it does not mean that he will get it. And as we can see, such a treacherous act can be enough to undermine all peace efforts or come close to them.
In conclusion, it is difficult for the war party in Tehran to tolerate the reopening of communication between Turkey and Azerbaijan through Armenia, which will inevitably happen sooner or later with the development of peaceful cooperation. Therefore, the Khomeinists must keep the situation on the brink of war, if not war itself. Considering that the Armenian armed groups are flooded with Dashnaks who can coordinate their activities with the Iranian intelligence, it is not excluded that this is far from being the only provocation we will see in this region.
2. Lebanon, about which we have already written today (https://golosislama.com/news.php?id=40191).
The main thing to understand about this issue in relation to the one under discussion is that the pro-Iranian Shiite formations decided to show their teeth before the visit of US Special Representative Victoria Nuland and demonstrate that they will not allow themselves to be pushed further out of power.
Meanwhile, it is not only the trial on the Beirut port explosions, which may expose Hezbollah’s involvement in this national catastrophe, but also the support for strengthening the Lebanese National Army, which was supposed to be discussed during this visit, that leads to this. Let’s remember that Hezbollah is an international terrorist organization that does the dirty work for the regime in Tehran, whose hands are covered with blood, especially that of Syrian Muslims.
Lebanon is only used as a base by this organization, which is one of the tentacles of Khomeinist Iran, taking advantage of the weakness of the Lebanese state. Therefore, strengthening its institutions and investigating the activities of international sectarian terrorists is a threat to its positions in this country. Hence the reaction to them.
3. Iraq, which held parliamentary elections this week (https://golosislama.com/news.php?id=40181).
Here the pro-Iranian forces suffered a crushing defeat. The party of the anti-Iranian Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr, who in recent years has come forward from Iraqi patriotic positions and called for balancing Iran’s influence through cooperation with the Arab world, including Saudi Arabia, received first place and 73 mandates with the support of the relative Shiite majority. The Arab Sunni coalition «Takaddum» came in second with 38 mandates. The moderately pro-Iranian Shiite party of former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki came in third with only 37 seats. The Kurdish Democratic Party, which advocates Kurdish autonomy, was just behind with 32 seats. However, the radical pro-Iranian Khomeinist bloc «Al-Fatah» won only 17 seats, 31 fewer than in the previous parliament. And another Shiite coalition of former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and Shiite cleric Ammar al-Hakim performed disastrously. While the former won 42 seats and the latter 18 in the last elections, they now have a combined total of only 4 (!) seats in the Iraqi parliament.
In general, there is a significant defeat for the pro-Iranian, radical and corrupt Shiite forces and a strengthening of the anti-Khomeinist forces, including both Arab and Kurdish Sunnis, as well as Shiite Iraqis who do not want to dance to Tehran’s tune. Ultimately, when this happens in one country after another, it can be said that the war party of the Khomeinist regime has been defeated. And then it will be the Iranian people themselves who must be liberated from it. Insha’Allah.