Azerbaijan under the threat of Shiite terrorists. Is the situation explosive?

The confrontation between Azerbaijan and pro-Iranian Shiite extremists supported by the Iranian regime is escalating. Yesterday, Azerbaijani parliamentary deputy Fazil Mustafa, representing the national-conservative Great Order Party, was shot near his home. Fortunately, after two surgeries and the removal of bullets, the deputy managed to survive and is now in stable condition.

Fazil Mustafa is known as a consistent fighter against Iranian influence in Azerbaijan through the Shiite factor and unofficially as a critic of Shiism and a supporter of Sunnification of Azerbaijanis. Therefore, it is not surprising that the main suspects in the assassination attempt are Shiite extremists with pro-Iranian leanings.

The latter reacted very nervously to the incident. The organization «Huseyniyyun» (an equivalent of «Hezbollah» for Azerbaijan) stated that the assassination attempt was orchestrated by the Azerbaijani authorities to stir up anti-Iranian sentiments, pointing to the anti-Shiite views of the deputy. One of the channels close to the Iranian «Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps» stated that «the Islamic Republic of Iran has never committed and will never commit acts of terrorism» (!!), but warned «the Republic of Baku that if it wants to link its destructive and divisive actions with Iran, it will face destructive political and military responses».

At the same time, a member of «Huseyniyyun», Rza Agali, did not hesitate to express his joy over the assassination of his «unknown» enemy of Ahl al-Bayt. In this regard, it is worth mentioning that shortly before this assassination attempt, the Azerbaijani special services conducted a raid against «Huseyniyyun» cells in Azerbaijan.

And not without reason — because of the situation around Karabakh and Nagorno-Karabakh, Iran is openly threatening Azerbaijan with the use of force by conducting military maneuvers on the border and releasing videos announcing possible mass drone attacks by «Shahed» on its territory.

In essence, what we have repeatedly written about is happening — instead of promoting peaceful settlements between Azerbaijan and Armenia by encouraging the latter to accept the new reality, the Iranian regime is inciting it to engage in provocative behavior, hinting that it will support it in case of a new war.

In such a situation, one cannot turn a blind eye to the activities of pro-Iranian cells and fanatics in Azerbaijan, as they may try to incite rebellion or carry out terrorist acts in the country in case of such a war. The situation is very difficult.

The enemy obviously hopes that Turkey, which is busy with its internal problems, will not be able to engage in a war with Iran in case of an attack on Azerbaijan. However, the new government of Israel under the leadership of Benjamin Netanyahu, who has longstanding close relations with Baku, regularly threatens Iran with a possible attack.

On the one hand, war may not be a priority at the moment, given Israel’s internal affairs, but on the other hand, wars often allow such politicians to divert society’s attention to an external threat. By the way, this also applies to Iran and its constant protests…

All this makes the current situation in Azerbaijan’s relations with Armenia, where Iran may openly take sides this time, the most explosive since the 44-day Second Karabakh War. We ask Almighty Allah to protect Muslims (except Rafidis).

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